#54 overall · CLE · 130.2 projected half-PPR pts · +13.3 Draft Value · Market ADP 54.1
Quinshon Judkins — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Quinshon Judkins arrived in Cleveland and immediately became the team's primary ball-carrier. In 2025 he logged 230 rush attempts — every one of those carries in his three-year aggregate, meaning his entire NFL résumé was built in a single season. He turned that workload into 827 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns, a touchdown rate that signals genuine red-zone trust. He also caught 26 of 36 targets for 171 receiving yards, showing he can contribute as a pass-catcher without being a liability. The volume is real, the role is real, and the touchdown production backs it up.
What the model projects
Our projection has Judkins at 130.2 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That output grades out to a draftValue of +13.3 — meaning he projects above replacement level at the running back position. On the board he ranks #54 overall and RB22, sitting in Tier 7. The projection reflects a back who has demonstrated workhorse usage and red-zone involvement, with a receiving floor that keeps him relevant in half-PPR formats.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 827 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154.8 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 230 | 827 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 171 | — | — | — | 154.8 |
The range of outcomes
Judkins' profile carries the variance you'd expect from a young back whose entire NFL track record is one season. The upside case is straightforward: if he holds the lead role and the touchdown rate holds near his 2025 pace, the counting stats stack quickly. The downside case centers on the same concentration of evidence — one season of data means any change in role, health, or efficiency has an outsized effect on outcomes. His receiving usage (36 targets, 26 catches) is a modest but real floor-builder in half-PPR, softening the worst-case scenarios. The range is wide; the median is a serviceable RB2.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Judkins going at pick 54.1 — that's round 5, pick 6 in a 12-team snake draft (per a median across two platforms). Our model places him at #54 overall, so the market and the model are essentially aligned at this price. Plan to spend a fifth-round pick if you want him on your roster. His bye is Week 11, which is worth noting for playoff-week roster construction.
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Questions drafters ask
He handled 230 rush attempts and saw 36 targets (catching 26) in 2025 — his entire three-year aggregate matches those same numbers, confirming that was his first NFL season of meaningful action. That's a true workhorse role.
The model projects 130.2 half-PPR fantasy points, a draftValue of +13.3 above replacement level, ranking him #54 overall and RB22, in Tier 7.
Market ADP puts him at pick 54.1, which works out to round 5, pick 6 in a 12-team draft. That's the window where you'll need to spend a pick to secure him.
It's modest but real. He caught 26 of 36 targets for 171 receiving yards in 2025 with no receiving touchdowns. That catch rate and target share provide a half-PPR floor without making him a pass-catching specialist.