#57 overall · CHI · 135.0 projected half-PPR pts · +12.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 50.6
Rome Odunze — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Rome Odunze has done something quietly useful across his first two NFL seasons: he's earned targets. In 2024 he saw 101 of them, hauling in 54 receptions for 734 yards and 3 touchdowns. In 2025 the target volume dipped to 90, but the touchdown rate climbed — 6 receiving scores on 44 catches and 661 yards. The three-year average settles at 95.5 targets, 49 receptions, 697.5 receiving yards, and 4.5 receiving touchdowns per season. That is a receiver who has consistently occupied a meaningful role in the Chicago offense. The touchdown jump in 2025 signals that the Bears are willing to use him in the red zone, and that usage pattern is exactly what separates a volume receiver from a fantasy-relevant one. He carries a positive draft value of +12.5 points above replacement, which means the projection sees him as a net contributor above the baseline WR in a 12-team half-PPR league. His bye is Week 10 — plan accordingly.
What the model projects
The projection for Odunze is 135.0 half-PPR fantasy points. That output places him at WR28 by position and #57 overall, landing him in Tier 7 on the full board. His draft value of +12.5 confirms he projects above replacement level at the wide receiver position. The projection is built on a receiver who has averaged 95.5 targets per season over the three-year window — a workload that provides a credible floor — while the 2025 touchdown rate offers a ceiling argument. At 135.0 projected points, the model sees a consistent WR3/flex contributor rather than a boom-or-bust dart throw.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 101 | 54 | 734 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 117.9 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 44 | 661 | 6 | — | 0 | 0 | 124.1 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 1.5 | 7.5 | — | 95.5 | 49 | 697.5 | 4.5 | 1 | — | — | 122.0 |
The range of outcomes
Odunze's profile carries real variance. His catch rate dropped from 54-of-101 (53.5%) in 2024 to 44-of-90 (48.9%) in 2025 — more targets converted into touchdowns but fewer into receptions, which means his fantasy output is sensitive to both efficiency and scoring luck. In a bad season, the target volume stays modest and the touchdowns regress toward the 2024 level of three, leaving him as a low-end WR3 with limited upside. In a strong season, the 90-plus target floor holds and the red-zone role expands further, pushing him toward and potentially past the 2025 touchdown pace. The 2025 fumbles data shows zero fumbles, an improvement from the one fumble lost in 2024, which removes one small drag on his floor. The honest read: the floor is a serviceable flex, the ceiling is a mid-range WR2 week, and the path between them runs through touchdown variance.
How to draft him
Odunze is going off boards at an average draft position of 50.6 — that is pick 5.03 in a 12-team snake draft, early in the fifth round. Our model ranks him #57 overall and WR28. If you want him, the market is currently pricing him in the fifth round, so that is the window where you need to be prepared to spend a pick. In a 12-team half-PPR league he profiles as a WR3 with flex upside, best used as a depth piece behind your top two receivers rather than a foundational pick. His Week 10 bye is a minor scheduling note worth tracking when you build out your roster.
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Questions drafters ask
Based on market ADP of 50.6 across two platforms, Odunze is currently going in the fifth round (pick 5.03 in a 12-team draft). That is the window where you need to be ready to spend a pick if you want him.
Over the three-year window through 2025, Odunze has averaged 95.5 targets per season. He saw 101 in 2024 and 90 in 2025, so the volume has been consistent enough to support a floor as a flex-relevant receiver in half-PPR formats.
It is worth noting. He caught 54-of-101 targets in 2024 but only 44-of-90 in 2025. However, his receiving touchdowns jumped from 3 to 6 in the same span, so the efficiency dip in receptions was partially offset by increased red-zone production. The net result was 661 receiving yards and 6 scores in 2025 versus 734 yards and 3 scores in 2024 — a different shape of production, not a clear step backward.
The model projects Odunze for 135.0 half-PPR fantasy points, ranking him WR28 at his position and #57 overall. He sits in Tier 7 on the full board with a draft value of +12.5 points above replacement level.