#195 overall · PIT · 127.4 projected half-PPR pts · -43.9 Draft Value · Market ADP 176.5
Chris Boswell — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Chris Boswell has been one of the more productive kickers in the league over the three seasons captured in these facts. His 2024 season stands out: 41 field goals on 44 attempts, 13 of them from 50-plus yards, with only 2 misses. That is a high-volume, high-accuracy line. The three-year averages back it up: 32.3 field goals per season on 35.7 attempts, with just 2.7 misses per year. Pittsburgh's offense consistently puts Boswell in position to score, as the 35.3 extra-point attempts per season over that same stretch confirm. The volume is real, and the accuracy has been durable.
What the model projects
The projection is 127.4 half-PPR fantasy points. That puts Boswell at K9 and #195 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -43.9, meaning the projection sits below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The point estimate of 127.4 sits above the band's median of 123.0, so the projection leans slightly above the typical simulated season.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | 2 | 27 | 131.0 |
| 2024 | 41 | 2 | 35 | 189.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | 4 | 42 | 147.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 32.3 | 2.7 | 34.7 | 32.0 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide. At the low end, 10% of simulated seasons finish at or below 45.1 points: a scenario where volume collapses and misses pile up. The 25th percentile is 91.5 points, still a meaningful step below the projection. The median simulated season lands at 123.0 points. The 75th percentile reaches 151.5, and the top 10% of simulated seasons finish at or above 163.7 points. That spread from 45.1 to 163.7 is a reminder of how volatile kicker seasons can be, even for a kicker with Boswell's track record. The upside is real; so is the floor risk. His bye falls in Week 9, which is worth noting for roster management.
(bottom 10%)
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our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP has Boswell going at pick 176.5, which works out to Round 15, Pick 8 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across 2 platforms. The projection places him at #195 overall. In most snake drafts, kickers are taken in the final rounds, and that is where Boswell is priced. If you want him, Round 15 is when you would need to spend the pick. Given the volatility in the outcome band, waiting as long as possible before committing to any kicker is the standard approach, and Boswell's current market slot is consistent with that strategy.
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Questions drafters ask
It is not an isolated spike. His three-year averages show 32.3 field goals and 35.7 attempts per season, with 2.7 misses. The 2024 line of 41 field goals on 44 attempts is above that average, but the underlying volume and accuracy have been consistent across all three seasons in the data.
The model projects 127.4 half-PPR fantasy points. The median simulated season is 123.0 points, and the projection sits just above that. He ranks K9 and #195 overall, in Tier 9, with a draft value of -43.9.
The 10th-percentile outcome is 45.1 points, and the 25th percentile is 91.5. Those low-end scenarios are well below the projection, reflecting the inherent variance in kicker scoring even for a high-volume option.
Market ADP puts Boswell at pick 176.5, or Round 15, Pick 8 in a 12-team draft. That is the window where you would need to spend a pick to secure him.
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Beyond the numbers
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