Adam Randall — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Adam Randall is a Baltimore Ravens running back sitting at the very back of the rankings. At RB67 and #300 overall, the case for drafting him in a standard 12-team snake draft is narrow. He belongs to Tier 9, the deepest tier in the pool, and his draftValue of -80.8 reflects a projection that sits well below replacement level at the position. The honest case is a late-flier argument: if something breaks right in Baltimore's backfield, Randall is on the roster and available. That is the ceiling of the argument, and it is a thin one.

What the model projects

The projection is 47.0 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. That is a low-volume number, consistent with a player who is not expected to see a meaningful share of carries in a typical week. His draftValue of -80.8 places him below the replacement-level baseline for running backs in a 12-team half-PPR format. Baltimore's bye falls in Week 13, which further compresses the window of usable weeks.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band is wide and skewed heavily toward the low end. In the bottom 10% of simulated seasons, Randall finishes at 0.0 points. The 25th percentile lands at 9.6 points and the median at 29.7. The upside exists but requires a significant departure from the base case: the 75th percentile is 70.3 points and the 90th percentile reaches 106.6. That gap between the median and the 90th percentile is large, which tells you this is a high-variance, low-floor profile. Most simulated seasons cluster well below the projection; the right tail is real but requires things to go unusually well.

How to draft him

Randall does not have a market ADP across public 2026 draft platforms, which means he is not being consistently drafted at all. In a 12-team snake draft, he is a player you pick up only if he clears waivers after your draft concludes, or as a final-round dart if you have already secured your roster. At #300 overall and RB67, he is a depth stash, not a draft target. His bye in Week 13 is worth noting if you do add him late, since you will not be able to count on him during that week regardless of his role.

He sits at #300 overall and RB67 with a draftValue of -80.8, meaning the projection places him well below replacement level. He has no market ADP across public platforms, so the expectation is that he goes undrafted in most leagues. He is better targeted as a post-draft waiver addition than as a pick.

The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 106.6 half-PPR points, and the 75th percentile is 70.3. Those numbers represent a meaningful departure from the median of 29.7, so the upside is real but requires an unusually favorable set of outcomes. The floor is 0.0 points at the 10th percentile.

The Ravens are off in Week 13. Given that Randall projects as a depth piece, the bye is a secondary concern, but it is worth tracking if his role expands late in the season.