#168 overall · NYG · 85.6 projected half-PPR pts · -31.3 Draft Value · Market ADP 141.7
Tyrone Tracy — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyrone Tracy has back-to-back seasons as a volume carrier for the Giants. In 2024 he logged 192 rush attempts for 839 yards and caught 38 of 53 targets for 284 receiving yards, adding 5 rush touchdowns and 1 receiving touchdown. In 2025 he ran 176 times for 740 yards and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 receiving yards, with 2 rush touchdowns and 2 receiving touchdowns. The three-year averages tell a consistent story: 184 rush attempts, 789.5 rush yards, 37 receptions, 286 receiving yards, 3.5 rush touchdowns, and 1.5 receiving touchdowns per season. He is a genuine three-down back who sees the ball in both the run and pass game, and that dual-threat workload is the foundation of any case for him in 2026.
What the model projects
The projection for Tracy in 2026 is 85.6 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -31.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the running back position. He ranks RB40 at the position and #168 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 8.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 839 | 5 | 53 | 38 | 284 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 163.3 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 740 | 2 | 48 | 36 | 288 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 142.8 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 184 | 789.5 | 3.5 | 50.5 | 37 | 286 | 1.5 | 2.5 | — | — | 156.1 |
The range of outcomes
Tracy's fumble history is worth noting: 4 fumbles (2 lost) in 2024, and 1 fumble (1 lost) in 2025. The three-year average is 2.5 fumbles per season. His touchdown totals have also been modest and variable — 6 combined touchdowns in 2024, 4 in 2025. Those two factors — ball security and scoring opportunity — are the primary levers on his season-to-season variance. A year in which the touchdowns cluster toward the high end of his range looks meaningfully different from one where they don't, and his fumble rate can quietly erode value in half-PPR formats.
How to draft him
The market is currently taking Tracy at pick 141.7 on average — that's round 12, pick 10 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our model has him at #168 overall and RB40. At that stage of the draft, roster construction context matters: he is a depth or handcuff consideration, not a starter you build around. If you want him, the market says you'll need to spend a late-round pick to secure him.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2024 he had 192 rush attempts and 53 targets (38 receptions). In 2025 he had 176 rush attempts and 48 targets (36 receptions). His three-year averages are 184 rush attempts and 50.5 targets per season, making him a consistent volume back in both phases.
The projection is 85.6 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks RB40 at his position and #168 overall, with a draft value of -31.3 — below replacement level at running back.
The market is currently taking him at an average of pick 141.7, which works out to round 12, pick 10 in a 12-team draft. That median is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional signal rather than a precise number.
It has been. He fumbled 4 times and lost 2 in 2024, then fumbled once and lost it in 2025. His three-year average is 2.5 fumbles per season. In half-PPR formats, fumbles lost directly subtract from fantasy scoring, so it is a factor to weigh alongside his workload.