#332 overall · DET · 31.8 projected half-PPR pts · -88.0 Draft Value
Tyler Conklin — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong fantasy case for Tyler Conklin at this stage of the rankings. He sits at TE55 and #332 overall, deep in Tier 9, with a draftValue of -88.0. That number places him well below replacement level at the tight end position in a 12-team half-PPR format. He is a Detroit Lion with a Week 6 bye, and the projection of 31.8 half-PPR points reflects a very limited expected role. Drafters building deep rosters or working a streaming strategy might keep his name in mind, but the numbers do not make a compelling case for targeting him with any meaningful pick.
What the model projects
The projection for Conklin is 31.8 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. His draftValue of -88.0 puts him 88 points below the replacement-level baseline for tight ends in a 12-team half-PPR league. At TE55 and #332 overall in Tier 9, he ranks among the deepest options at his position. These are not numbers that suggest a meaningful fantasy contribution in a standard-depth league.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band for Conklin is wide relative to his projection, which itself signals high variance. The p10 outcome is 1.3 points, meaning the bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons produce essentially nothing. The p25 sits at 9.7 points and the median simulated season lands at 26.0 points, below even the modest 31.8 point projection. The p75 outcome reaches 49.1 points and the p90 tops out at 75.5 points. That upper tail exists, but the distribution is heavily skewed: most simulated seasons cluster at the low end, and the median falls short of the point estimate. The realistic base case is a near-zero fantasy contribution.
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our projection
How to draft him
Conklin does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough to register a median draft position. In practical terms, he is a free agent on the waiver wire in most leagues. There is no pick cost to weigh here. If a roster spot opens late in a very deep draft, his name might surface, but the projection and draftValue give no reason to seek him out.
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Questions drafters ask
The numbers say no. His projection is 31.8 half-PPR points, his draftValue is -88.0, and he ranks TE55 and #332 overall in Tier 9. All three figures place him well below replacement level, and he has no market ADP in public 2026 drafts.
The p90 outcome from the simulated season band is 75.5 half-PPR points, meaning only the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reach that level. The p75 is 49.1 points. There is a tail, but the median simulated season is just 26.0 points, so the realistic base case is far below even that modest upside.
He has no market ADP in public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being selected consistently enough across platforms to produce a median draft position. He is effectively undrafted and available on the waiver wire in most leagues.
Conklin and the Detroit Lions are on bye in Week 6.
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Beyond the numbers
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