#210 overall · ARI · 72.1 projected half-PPR pts · -44.7 Draft Value · Market ADP 134.0
Tyler Allgeier — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyler Allgeier has been a consistent presence in the Arizona backfield across three seasons, averaging 155.3 rush attempts, 613.7 rush yards, and 5 rush touchdowns per year from 2023 through 2025. His 2025 season stood out on the scoring side — 8 rush touchdowns on 143 carries and 514 rush yards — the highest single-season rushing touchdown total of his career to date. He also contributes as a receiver, averaging 15 receptions and 125.7 receiving yards per season over that same three-year stretch. He is a known commodity with a defined role, and in late rounds of a 12-team snake draft, that kind of floor has real utility.
What the model projects
The projection for Allgeier in 2026 is 72.1 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -44.7, placing him RB46 and #210 overall. He is a Tier 9 player. Arizona's bye week is Week 14.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 683 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 193 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 126.6 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 644 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.7 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 514 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 155.3 | 613.7 | 5 | 17.3 | 15 | 125.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 113.2 |
The range of outcomes
Allgeier's three-year history shows a narrow statistical band — rush attempts have ranged from 137 to 186, rush yards from 514 to 683, and touchdowns from 3 to 8. The 2025 touchdown spike (8 rushing TDs) is the clearest upside signal in his record, but his receiving work has remained limited, with no more than 23 targets in any single season. The combination of a modest volume ceiling and a thin receiving role keeps the outcome range tight. A repeat of the 2025 touchdown rate would be the primary driver of any meaningful upside; a reversion toward his 2023–2024 touchdown pace (3–4 per season) would push him toward the floor.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Allgeier is 134.0 — pick 12.02 in a 12-team draft — drawn from two platforms. Our projection places him at #210 overall and RB46. He is a Tier 9 back. If you want him, the market is currently asking for a 12th-round pick to secure him.
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Questions drafters ask
He has averaged 155.3 rush attempts and 613.7 rush yards per season from 2023 through 2025, with single-season attempt totals of 186 (2023), 137 (2024), and 143 (2025).
Allgeier scored 8 rushing touchdowns in 2025, up from 4 in 2023 and 3 in 2024. His three-year average is 5 rush touchdowns per season.
Minimally. Over three seasons he has averaged 17.3 targets, 15 receptions, and 125.7 receiving yards per year. His highest single-season target total was 23 in 2023, and he has not scored a receiving touchdown since that same year.
Market ADP has him going at pick 134.0, which is pick 12.02 in a 12-team draft. That figure is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional signal rather than a deep consensus.