#142 overall · SF · 101.6 projected half-PPR pts · -20.9 Draft Value · Market ADP 96.2
Ricky Pearsall — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Ricky Pearsall is a young wide receiver in San Francisco's offense with two NFL seasons already logged. In 2024 he posted 400 receiving yards and 3 receiving touchdowns on 46 targets and 31 receptions. In 2025 he built on the yardage total — 528 receiving yards on 53 targets and 36 receptions — though the touchdown column went quiet. Over his three-year averages he has seen 49.5 targets, hauled in 33.5 receptions, and produced 464 receiving yards per season. The target volume is modest but real, and the 2025 yardage step-up shows he is getting more out of each opportunity. For a drafter willing to wait deep into a draft, Pearsall represents a live dart on a receiver who has shown he can produce when the ball finds him.
What the model projects
The projection for Pearsall in 2026 is 101.6 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -20.9, meaning the projection lands below the replacement-level baseline at wide receiver. He is ranked #142 overall and WR57, placed in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 8.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 46 | 31 | 400 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 78.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 53 | 36 | 528 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70.6 |
| 3-yr avg | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 21.5 | — | 49.5 | 33.5 | 464 | 1.5 | — | — | 74.3 |
The range of outcomes
Pearsall's 2024 and 2025 seasons illustrate the variance already present in his profile. In 2024 he scored 3 receiving touchdowns on 46 targets; in 2025 he scored zero on 53 targets despite gaining more yards. That touchdown swing alone represents a meaningful points difference in half-PPR formats. A season in which the touchdowns return — even at the 2024 rate — pushes his value well above the projection. A season in which targets stagnate and touchdowns stay absent keeps him firmly in replacement-level territory. The outcome band is wide for a receiver at this stage of his career, and the floor and ceiling are both visible in his own recent history.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Pearsall is 96.2, which works out to pick 8.12 in a 12-team snake draft — that figure is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional read rather than a settled consensus. Our model has him at #142 overall and WR57. If you want him, the market is currently asking for a pick roughly 45 spots ahead of where the model values him. Plan accordingly: he is a late-round target in formats where you are comfortable carrying a below-replacement-level receiver as a speculative upside play. His bye in Week 8 is worth noting when constructing your roster.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
He caught 36 of 53 targets for 528 receiving yards and zero receiving touchdowns, adding 2 rush attempts for -2 yards.
Below. His draft value is -20.9, meaning the 101.6-point projection falls short of the replacement-level baseline at wide receiver. He is ranked WR57 and #142 overall.
Market ADP has him going at pick 96.2 — round 8, pick 12 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. The model ranks him #142 overall, so the market is pricing him considerably earlier than our value-based ordering.
In 2024 he scored 3 receiving touchdowns on 46 targets. In 2025 he had zero touchdowns on 53 targets but gained 528 yards. A season that combines the 2025 target and yardage volume with a return to the 2024 touchdown rate would push his fantasy output meaningfully above the 101.6-point projection.