#140 overall · LV · 102.2 projected half-PPR pts · -20.3 Draft Value
Tre Tucker — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tre Tucker has posted three consecutive seasons of growth in Las Vegas. Targets climbed from 34 in 2023 to 81 in 2024 to 92 in 2025. Receiving yards followed the same arc: 331, then 539, then 696. Touchdown production has ticked up as well — 2 receiving scores in 2023, 3 in 2024, 5 in 2025. He also adds a modest ground dimension, averaging 10 rush attempts and 57.3 rush yards per season over the last three years. The trajectory is real and consistent, and for a drafter hunting late-round volume, that kind of year-over-year target growth is the foundation of a case.
What the model projects
The projection for Tucker is 102.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -20.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He is ranked #140 overall and WR56, placed in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is 13.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 77 | 0 | 34 | 19 | 331 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 62.3 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 81 | 47 | 539 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 105.8 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 92 | 57 | 696 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 133.2 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 69 | 41 | 522 | 3.3 | — | — | 100.0 |
The range of outcomes
Tucker's three-year averages — 69 targets, 41 receptions, 522 receiving yards, 3.3 receiving touchdowns — frame the realistic floor and ceiling. The 2025 season (92 targets, 57 receptions, 696 yards, 5 touchdowns) represents the high end of what he has demonstrated. The 2023 season (34 targets, 19 receptions, 331 yards, 2 touchdowns) represents the low end. The spread between those two seasons is wide, which means the outcome band for Tucker is genuinely broad. A season closer to 2025 production would push him well above the projection; a regression toward 2023 levels would confirm the below-replacement-level placement.
How to draft him
Tucker is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no established draft-slot cost to plan around — he is available as a late add or off the wire in most formats. At WR56 and #140 overall in Tier 9, he profiles as a depth piece or a speculative roster spot, not a core starter. Draft him only after your starting lineup is set and you are looking for upside on the margins.
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Questions drafters ask
He projects at 102.2 points with a draft value of -20.3, placing him below replacement level at WR as WR56 and #140 overall in Tier 9. He is a depth/speculative option, not a starter.
It's a three-year trend. Targets went 34 (2023), 81 (2024), 92 (2025), and receiving yards went 331, 539, 696 over the same span. The growth has been consistent.
His best season on record is 2025: 92 targets, 57 receptions, 696 receiving yards, and 5 receiving touchdowns. That is the high-end data point the outcome band is built around.
He does not have a market ADP — he isn't being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is available as a late-round flier or off the waiver wire in most leagues.