#86 overall · LAC · 118.8 projected half-PPR pts · -3.7 Draft Value · Market ADP 98.0
Quentin Johnston — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Quentin Johnston has quietly built a consistent statistical floor over three NFL seasons. In 2024 he caught 55 of 91 targets for 711 yards and 8 touchdowns, then followed it in 2025 with 51 receptions on 84 targets for 735 yards and another 8 scores. Back-to-back seasons of 8 receiving touchdowns is a real signal. His three-year averages — 80.7 targets, 48 receptions, 625.7 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns per season — show a receiver who has settled into a defined role and delivered meaningful production in each of the last two years. The touchdown rate, in particular, is the engine of his fantasy value.
What the model projects
The model projects Johnston at 118.8 half-PPR fantasy points this season. That output lands him at #86 overall and WR42, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His draft value sits at -3.7, meaning the projection comes in just below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. The numbers reflect a receiver whose role is established but whose ceiling, as currently projected, does not clear the replacement bar by a meaningful margin.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 67 | 38 | 431 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 75.0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 91 | 55 | 711 | 8 | — | 0 | 0 | 147.2 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 84 | 51 | 735 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145.7 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 2.7 | 7.3 | — | 80.7 | 48 | 625.7 | 6 | 0.3 | — | — | 123.3 |
The range of outcomes
Johnston's season-to-season history illustrates the variance a drafter should expect. His receiving yard totals have ranged from 431 (2023) to 735 (2025), and his touchdown production swung from 2 scores in 2023 to 8 in each of the two seasons that followed. Touchdowns are the most volatile component of any receiver's fantasy line, and Johnston's profile leans heavily on them — in years where they come, he delivers genuine fantasy relevance; in years where they don't, the yardage base alone is unlikely to carry him. His bye falls in Week 7, a manageable but not trivial roster management consideration.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Johnston going at pick 98.0 — round 9, pick 2 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. The model has him at #86 overall and WR42. At that draft slot, he is a late-round flier whose value is almost entirely tied to whether the touchdown production from 2024 and 2025 repeats. Roster him as depth or a streamer candidate, not as a foundational piece of your receiving corps.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
The model projects him at WR42 with a draft value of -3.7, which puts him just below replacement level at the position. He is best treated as depth rather than a weekly starter.
Very. His yardage base has averaged 625.7 receiving yards per season over three years, which is modest. His back-to-back 8-touchdown seasons in 2024 and 2025 are what drive his fantasy relevance — without that scoring rate, the underlying numbers don't support consistent starting value.
Market ADP puts him at pick 98.0, which is round 9, pick 2 in a 12-team draft. That is the window where he is currently being selected across public drafts.
In 2023 Johnston posted 67 targets, 38 receptions, 431 receiving yards, and just 2 touchdowns. That season is the clearest look at his floor — a low-volume, low-scoring outcome that produced minimal fantasy value. It's the scenario to price in when considering him late.