#918 overall · SF · 60.2 projected half-PPR pts · -207.2 Draft Value
Mac Jones — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong fantasy case for drafting Mac Jones in 2026. He lands at QB38 and #918 overall, deep in Tier 9, with a draft value of -207.2 — well below replacement level at the quarterback position. His three-year averages tell the story plainly: 298.7 pass attempts, 1,981 pass yards, and 10.3 passing touchdowns per season. His best recent passing season was 2025, when he threw for 2,151 yards and 13 touchdowns against just 6 interceptions on 289 attempts — a cleaner ratio than his prior two years, but still a modest volume line. He adds a small rushing dimension, averaging 30 rush attempts and 82.7 rush yards per season over the last three years, though he has not scored a rushing touchdown in two of those three seasons. The honest case for rostering him is roster-depth emergency coverage only.
What the model projects
The projection for Mac Jones in 2026 is 60.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -207.2, meaning he projects 207.2 points below the replacement-level baseline at quarterback in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. He is ranked QB38 and #918 overall. His bye week is Week 8.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 345 | 224 | 2120 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 118.4 |
| 2024 | 262 | 171 | 1672 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 102.1 |
| 2025 | 289 | 201 | 2151 | 13 | 6 | 36 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 134.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 298.7 | 198.7 | 1981 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 30 | 82.7 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 121.8 |
The range of outcomes
Even in optimistic simulated seasons, Jones does not project as a meaningful fantasy contributor. His three-year history shows a ceiling of 2,151 pass yards and 13 touchdowns (2025) and a floor of 1,672 pass yards and 8 touchdowns (2024). Turnover variance is real — he has thrown between 6 and 12 interceptions per season over this span and lost 2 fumbles in each of the last three years. The combination of limited volume, modest touchdown upside, and consistent turnover exposure keeps the outcome band narrow and low across the board.
How to draft him
Mac Jones is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. He is a QB38 and #918 overall — a Tier 9 quarterback who projects well below replacement level. In a standard 12-team snake draft, there is no meaningful strategic decision to make here. He is a late-round or waiver-wire name at best, and only relevant as emergency depth if your starter is unavailable.
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Questions drafters ask
His projection of 60.2 half-PPR points and a draft value of -207.2 place him at QB38 and #918 overall in Tier 9 — well below replacement level. He is a last-resort emergency option, not a planned backup.
Over the last three seasons (2023–2025), he averaged 298.7 pass attempts, 1,981 pass yards, 10.3 passing touchdowns, and 8.7 interceptions per year. His best season in that span was 2025: 289 attempts, 2,151 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions.
Minimally. He has averaged 30 rush attempts and 82.7 rush yards per season over the last three years, with just one rushing touchdown across all three seasons (2024). It is not a meaningful fantasy contributor.
He has no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. At QB38 and #918 overall, he is not a player to target in any planned draft round.