#313 overall · ARI · 43.9 projected half-PPR pts · -78.6 Draft Value
Kendrick Bourne — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Kendrick Bourne is now with Arizona, and the 2025 season offered a glimpse of what he can do when targets come his way. He hauled in 37 receptions on 53 targets for 551 receiving yards — his best yardage total across the three seasons on record. That efficiency on a modest target share is the foundation of whatever case exists here. Over the three-year window from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 48.7 targets, 34 receptions, and 420.7 receiving yards per season, with 1.7 receiving touchdowns per year. The 2023 season showed he can find the end zone — four receiving touchdowns on 55 targets — which keeps a ceiling scenario alive even if the floor is thin.
What the model projects
The projection for Bourne in 2026 is 43.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -78.6, meaning he projects below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR101 at his position and #313 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Arizona's bye week falls in Week 14.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 55 | 37 | 406 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 81.5 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 38 | 28 | 305 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 51.1 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 37 | 551 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 73.6 |
| 3-yr avg | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | 0.7 | 3.3 | — | 48.7 | 34 | 420.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | — | — | 69.6 |
The range of outcomes
At 43.9 projected points with a negative draft value of -78.6, the outcome band is narrow and centered well below fantasy relevance in most formats. The three-year averages tell the story plainly: fewer than 50 targets per season, fewer than 35 receptions, and touchdown totals that swung from zero in 2025 to four in 2023. The 2024 season — 38 targets, 28 receptions, 305 yards, one touchdown — represents the low end of what this role has produced. The 2025 season — 53 targets, 37 receptions, 551 yards, zero touchdowns — represents the high end. Even the high end lands well short of fantasy-relevant volume in most league formats.
How to draft him
Bourne is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no pick cost to weigh — he is available as a free agent in virtually every draft. At WR101 and #313 overall in Tier 9, he is a depth option at best, suitable only as a late-roster stash in deeper leagues or as a bye-week fill-in. His Week 14 bye is worth noting if you are managing a playoff push. Do not allocate a meaningful pick to get here.
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Questions drafters ask
He posted 37 receptions on 53 targets for 551 receiving yards and zero touchdowns — his highest yardage total of the three seasons on record, but without a touchdown to boost his fantasy value.
He ranks WR101 at his position and #313 overall, with a draft value of -78.6, placing him in Tier 9. He projects below replacement level at wide receiver.
The three-year average of 48.7 targets and 1.7 receiving touchdowns per season is a thin base. The 2023 season (four touchdowns on 55 targets) shows the ceiling exists, but the 2024 season (one touchdown on 38 targets, 305 yards) shows how quickly the floor drops. At 43.9 projected points, the path to weekly relevance is narrow.
He has no market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. In practice, he is available as a free agent in virtually every draft.