#173 overall · GB · 96.3 projected half-PPR pts · -32.8 Draft Value
Green Bay Packers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Green Bay Packers defense has shown genuine pass-rush consistency over the past three seasons, logging 45 sacks in both 2023 and 2024 before settling at 36 in 2025 — a three-year average of 42 sacks per season. The turnover picture has been more volatile, but the 2024 campaign stands out: 17 interceptions and 16 forced fumbles with 14 recoveries. That kind of ball-hawking production is the engine of DST fantasy scoring, and Green Bay has demonstrated it is capable of delivering at that level. The three-year averages — 10.3 interceptions, 11.3 forced fumbles, 10.7 recoveries — reflect a unit that consistently creates opportunities. If the 2024 version of this defense shows up in 2026, the upside is real.
What the model projects
The projection for the Green Bay Packers DST is 96.3 half-PPR fantasy points. That places them at DST23 and #173 overall, landing in Tier 9. Their draft value sits at -32.8, meaning the projection falls below the replacement-level baseline for the DST position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. The numbers are what they are: this is a below-replacement projection on the current board.
| INT | Sacks | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 45 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 350 | 99.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 45 | 16 | 14 | 1 | — | 338 | 129.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | 36 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 360 | 72.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 10.3 | 42 | 11.3 | 10.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 349.3 | 100.1 |
The range of outcomes
The three-season history tells a story of meaningful variance. Interceptions swung from 7 in 2023 to 17 in 2024 and back to 7 in 2025. Forced fumbles ranged from 8 to 16. Sacks held relatively steady at 36–45. Points allowed ranged from 338 to 360. That spread in the underlying stats signals a unit whose fantasy output can shift substantially from one season to the next depending on which version shows up. A repeat of the 2024 turnover pace would push the scoring floor considerably higher; a repeat of 2025's quieter takeaway numbers keeps the ceiling modest.
How to draft him
Green Bay's DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no established draft-day price to plan around. At DST23 and #173 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -32.8, this is a unit best treated as a late-round or post-draft option. Their bye falls in Week 11, worth noting for roster management. Draft your starters first; if you circle back to Green Bay late, you are betting on a bounce-back in turnovers rather than a projection that already clears the bar.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 96.3 points and a draft value of -32.8 put them below replacement level at the position — DST23 and #173 overall in Tier 9. The facts support treating them as a depth or streaming option rather than a locked-in starter.
The range is wide. In 2024 they posted 17 interceptions, 16 forced fumbles, and 45 sacks. In 2025 those numbers dropped to 7 interceptions, 8 forced fumbles, and 36 sacks. The three-year averages are 10.3 interceptions, 11.3 forced fumbles, and 42 sacks — a unit capable of a big year but not a consistent one.
There is no market ADP available, meaning the unit is not being consistently drafted across platforms. Given their DST23 ranking and Tier 9 placement, they fit as a late-draft target after positional starters are secured.
The Packers DST has a bye in Week 11, which is worth factoring into your roster construction if you do add them.