#915 overall · CIN · 70.6 projected half-PPR pts · -196.8 Draft Value
Joe Flacco — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Joe Flacco is now with Cincinnati, and his 2025 season represented his most complete statistical year of the three-year window on record. He threw for 2,479 yards and 15 touchdowns on 416 attempts, added a rushing touchdown, and posted a 251-of-416 completion line. That is a meaningful step up from the 1,616 yards and 13 touchdowns across 204 attempts in 2023 and the 1,761 yards and 12 touchdowns across 248 attempts in 2024. The three-year averages — 1,952 passing yards, 13.3 passing touchdowns, and 8.3 interceptions per season — tell the story of a quarterback who has operated in a limited role most of the time. The case for drafting him is narrow but real: if you are in a deep league, need a streaming option, or are building a roster that requires a QB late, he is on the board.
What the model projects
The projection for Flacco in 2026 is 70.6 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -196.8, meaning he projects well below replacement level at the quarterback position. He ranks QB35 at his position and #915 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His bye week is Week 6. These numbers reflect a quarterback who, by the value-based-drafting framework, does not contribute surplus fantasy value in a standard 12-team half-PPR format.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 204 | 123 | 1616 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 106.8 |
| 2024 | 248 | 162 | 1761 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 106.0 |
| 2025 | 416 | 251 | 2479 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 152.7 |
| 3-yr avg | 289.3 | 178.7 | 1952 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 13 | 21 | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.7 | — | — | 126.9 |
The range of outcomes
Flacco's recent history shows real season-to-season variance. In 2023 he attempted 204 passes; in 2025 he attempted 416 — more than double. Touchdown output ranged from 12 to 15 over the three seasons, and interceptions ranged from 7 to 10. Fumbles lost ranged from 1 to 4. That spread in volume and efficiency outcomes is the honest picture of what this player's season can look like. A high-volume role produces a meaningfully different stat line than a limited one, and his history shows both are possible.
How to draft him
Flacco does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register one. In a standard 12-team half-PPR snake draft, he is a player you do not need to target at any specific pick; if he is available in the final rounds or on the waiver wire, that is the appropriate context for considering him. At QB35 and #915 overall in Tier 9, he is a depth option only — a late-roster add for managers who need a streaming quarterback or a handcuff in a two-QB format.
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Questions drafters ask
At QB35 and #915 overall with a draft value of -196.8, he projects below replacement level at the position. He is not a player to target in a standard single-QB format — his value, if any, is as a late-round streamer or in deeper league formats.
He completed 251 of 416 pass attempts for 2,479 yards, threw 15 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions, rushed 21 times for 35 yards, and added 1 rushing touchdown. He also fumbled 3 times, losing all 3.
His three-year averages (2023–2025) are 1,952 passing yards, 13.3 passing touchdowns, 8.3 interceptions, and 289.3 pass attempts per season. Volume has varied significantly — from 204 attempts in 2023 to 416 in 2025 — so his output is closely tied to how much he plays.
He has no market ADP in public 2026 drafts, meaning he is not being selected consistently enough across platforms to register one. There is no specific pick you need to spend — he is a post-draft or final-round consideration at best.