#89 overall · JAX · 117.9 projected half-PPR pts · -4.6 Draft Value · Market ADP 91.9
Jakobi Meyers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jakobi Meyers has been one of the more reliable volume receivers in the league over the past three seasons. He has cleared 100 targets in each of the last three years — 106 in 2023, 129 in 2024, and 110 in 2025 — and has averaged 77.7 receptions and 889.7 receiving yards per season across that stretch. That kind of target floor is real and repeatable. His 2024 season was his best yardage output, finishing with 1,027 receiving yards on 87 catches. His 2023 season was his best touchdown season, with 8 receiving touchdowns. The volume case is straightforward: Meyers consistently sees the ball.
What the model projects
The model projects Meyers at 117.9 half-PPR fantasy points this season. He ranks #89 overall and WR43 by draft value, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value of -4.6 places him just below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. The projection reflects his established target volume but also accounts for the touchdown variance that has defined his recent history — he averaged 5 receiving touchdowns per season over the last three years, with a high of 8 and a low of 3.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 106 | 71 | 807 | 8 | — | 0 | 0 | 183.1 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 129 | 87 | 1027 | 4 | — | 0 | 0 | 172.5 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 110 | 75 | 835 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 138.3 |
| 3-yr avg | 1 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.3 | — | 3.7 | 20 | 0.7 | 115 | 77.7 | 889.7 | 5 | 0.3 | — | — | 165.4 |
The range of outcomes
Meyers' range of outcomes is largely driven by touchdown luck. His yardage floor is credible — he has not finished below 807 receiving yards in any of the last three seasons — but his touchdown totals have swung from 3 (2025) to 8 (2023), and that swing alone is worth significant fantasy points. His 2024 season showed what the volume looks like without the touchdowns: 1,027 receiving yards and 87 receptions, but only 4 receiving scores. His 2023 season showed the touchdown upside: 8 receiving touchdowns on 807 yards. The ceiling scenario requires the touchdowns to show up closer to that 2023 level; the floor is a high-volume, low-score season like 2024. He also lost a fumble in 2025, a minor but real negative. JAX's bye falls in Week 7.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Meyers going at pick 91.9 — that is round 8, pick 8 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. The model ranks him #89 overall and WR43. If you want him, round 8 is when you need to spend the pick. At that stage of the draft, his three-year target volume — never below 106 in a season — gives you a reliable floor to build around, with touchdown upside that has shown up before.
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Questions drafters ask
He has cleared 100 targets in each of the last three seasons — 106 in 2023, 129 in 2024, and 110 in 2025 — averaging 115 targets per year over that stretch. That floor is one of the more consistent in the position.
His receiving touchdowns have ranged from 3 (2025) to 8 (2023), with 4 in 2024, for a three-year average of 5 per season. The upside is real but volatile — you are not guaranteed the high end in any given year.
Market ADP puts him at pick 91.9, which works out to round 8, pick 8 in a 12-team draft. That is when you would need to spend a pick to secure him.
He ranks WR43 by draft value and #89 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value of -4.6 puts him just below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format.