Jakobi Meyers — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Jakobi Meyers has been one of the more reliable volume receivers in the league over the past three seasons. He has cleared 100 targets in each of the last three years, averaging 115 targets per season from 2023 through 2025. That kind of target floor is real and repeatable. His 2024 season was his best on record: 129 targets, 87 receptions, 1,027 receiving yards, and 4 touchdowns. Even in 2025, when his touchdown total dipped to 3 and his yardage came in at 835, he still drew 110 targets and caught 75 passes. The volume case for Meyers is straightforward. He runs routes, he gets targeted, and he catches the ball. Over three seasons he has averaged 77.7 receptions and 889.7 receiving yards per year. For a drafter building a roster in the middle and late rounds, that kind of floor has genuine appeal.

What the model projects

The projection for Meyers is 121.5 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. That sits just below his three-year average production and reflects a WR40 at the position. His draft value is -3.7, placing him #87 overall in Tier 9. A negative draft value means the projection lands just below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format. The projection is not a ceiling call; it is a point estimate. His bye week is Week 7.

The range of outcomes

The simulated season band for Meyers is wide, which is consistent with a receiver whose touchdown variance has been meaningful. In a bad season, the bottom 10 percent of simulated outcomes lands at 47.2 points. The 25th percentile is 79.9 points. The median simulated season comes in at 118.9 points, close to the 121.5 point estimate. The 75th percentile is 154.0 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons reaches 195.3 points. The gap between the p10 and p90 is nearly 150 points, which tells you the upside is real but so is the downside. His 2023 season included 8 receiving touchdowns on 71 receptions; his 2025 season produced 3 on 75. That touchdown swing is the primary driver of the wide band. Drafters who land the high-end version get a productive WR2 week; those who land the low end get a volume accumulator with limited scoring.

How to draft him

Meyers is ranked #87 overall and WR40. His market ADP is 103.6, which works out to pick 9.08 in a 12-team snake draft, based on a median across two platforms. That means the market is taking him in the ninth round. If you want him, that is roughly when you need to spend a pick. His Tier 9 placement and negative draft value signal that the projection puts him just below the replacement threshold at wide receiver, so the decision comes down to whether you believe the volume floor and touchdown upside justify the selection at that point in the draft. The target history, three straight seasons above 100, is the most concrete argument in his favor at that stage.

He has cleared 100 targets in each of the last three seasons: 106 in 2023, 129 in 2024, and 110 in 2025. His three-year average is 115 targets per season. The volume has been consistent even when his touchdown and yardage totals have moved around.

Touchdowns. He caught 8 receiving touchdowns in 2023 on 71 receptions, then 4 in 2024 on 87, then 3 in 2025 on 75. That variance is the main reason the simulated outcome band runs from 47.2 points at the 10th percentile all the way to 195.3 at the 90th. The floor is a volume accumulator; the ceiling requires the touchdowns to show up.

His market ADP is 103.6, which translates to pick 9.08 in a 12-team draft. Plan to spend a ninth-round pick if you want him. That ADP is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional signal rather than a precise number.

He is #87 overall and WR40, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -3.7, which puts him just below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format.