#242 overall · TEN · 51.0 projected half-PPR pts · -61.0 Draft Value
Gunnar Helm — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Gunnar Helm logged 44 receptions on 55 targets for 357 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in 2025 — and that three-year aggregate is identical, meaning every production number on his ledger comes from that single season. He caught 80% of his targets, a catch rate that signals genuine reliability as a receiver. For a tight end still establishing himself in Tennessee's offense, that efficiency is a real foundation to build on. He has a bye in Week 9.
What the model projects
The projection for Helm in 2026 is 51.0 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -61.0, placing him #242 overall and TE35. He is a Tier 9 player on the board. The projection reflects a step back from his 2025 output — his actual 2025 season produced more than 51.0 points — and the negative draft value indicates he projects below replacement level at the tight end position.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 44 | 357 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 69.7 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | 44 | 357 | 2 | — | — | 69.7 |
The range of outcomes
Helm's 2025 season is the only data point in his three-year window, which means the outcome band carries real width. His catch rate of 80% on 55 targets is a genuine positive, but 2 receiving touchdowns and 357 yards in a single season leave the projection with limited history to anchor on. A season in which his target share grows and touchdowns tick up could push him meaningfully above 51.0 points. A season in which his role contracts would push him further below replacement. The variance here is wide in both directions.
How to draft him
Helm does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. At TE35 and #242 overall with a -61.0 draft value, he projects below replacement level. In a standard 12-team snake draft, he is a late-round or waiver-wire consideration at best. If you are targeting him as a speculative add, do so only after your roster's core needs are fully addressed. His Week 9 bye is worth noting when constructing your schedule.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 44 of 55 targets for 357 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns — an 80% catch rate. That is the entirety of his three-year statistical record.
He is TE35 by position rank and #242 overall, placing him in Tier 9 with a draft value of -61.0 — below replacement level at the tight end position.
No. His ADP is unavailable, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to generate a market average.
The projection is 51.0 half-PPR fantasy points, which is below his actual 2025 output and below replacement level at tight end.