#197 overall · DEN · 71.5 projected half-PPR pts · -40.5 Draft Value
Evan Engram — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Engram's 2023 season is the reason his name still appears on draft boards. That year he posted 143 targets, 114 receptions, 963 receiving yards, and 4 receiving touchdowns — a volume-driven stat line that established him as a legitimate weekly starter at a thin position. The three-year average across 2023–2025 still shows 94.3 targets, 70.3 receptions, and 596.3 receiving yards per season, which reflects a player who, when healthy and featured, can produce at a meaningful rate. Now with Denver, a drafter who believes the 2023 version is closer to his true ceiling than the 2024–2025 versions has a theoretical argument to make.
What the model projects
The projection is 71.5 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That sits at TE27 and #197 overall, placing Engram in Tier 9 on the board. His draft value is -40.5, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the tight end position in a standard 12-team half-PPR format. These numbers reflect where the model lands — they are the headline figures a drafter should carry into any decision about Engram.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 114 | 963 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 173.3 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 47 | 365 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 64.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 76 | 50 | 461 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 77.8 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3 | 2.3 | — | 94.3 | 70.3 | 596.3 | 2 | 1.3 | — | — | 107.0 |
The range of outcomes
Engram's recent history illustrates how wide his outcome band can run. In 2023 he logged 963 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns on 143 targets. In 2024 that collapsed to 365 yards, 1 touchdown, and 64 targets. In 2025 he posted 461 yards, 1 touchdown, and 76 targets. The three-year per-season averages — 596.3 receiving yards, 70.3 receptions, 2 receiving touchdowns — sit well below the 2023 peak. A drafter banking on the high end is betting on a return to that 2023 workload; the low end looks a lot like 2024. The gap between those two seasons is the core risk here.
How to draft him
Engram does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. At TE27 and #197 overall with a negative draft value, he projects as a below-replacement option at the position. If you are building a roster and considering a late-round flier at tight end, his 2023 ceiling gives him a theoretical upside argument — but the projection and rank say the baseline expectation is modest. Draft him only if you have already secured your primary tight end and are looking for a speculative add with no draft capital attached.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 71.5 half-PPR points and a TE27 ranking put him below replacement level at the position (draft value of -40.5). He is not projected as a reliable starting option, though his 2023 season — 143 targets, 114 receptions, 963 yards, 4 touchdowns — shows the ceiling exists if his role expands significantly.
Inconsistent. His three-year averages (2023–2025) are 94.3 targets, 70.3 receptions, 596.3 receiving yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns per season, but those averages are heavily skewed by 2023. In 2024 he had just 64 targets and 365 yards; in 2025, 76 targets and 461 yards. The variance between his best and most recent seasons is substantial.
Engram does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across tracked platforms to produce one. There is no pick cost to report at this time.
His 2023 season is the data point for the high end: 143 targets, 114 receptions, 963 receiving yards, and 4 receiving touchdowns. That is the ceiling on record. His 2024 and 2025 seasons represent the lower end of what his recent history looks like.