#240 overall · SF · 107.5 projected half-PPR pts · -61.8 Draft Value
Eddy Pineiro — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Eddy Pineiro's 2025 season was the strongest of his three-year stretch. He connected on 28 of 29 field goal attempts, missing just one, and added 34 extra points on 38 attempts. His long-range work stood out: 10 makes from 40-49 yards and 6 from 50-plus. That 96.6% field goal accuracy in 2025 is a meaningful improvement over his 2023 and 2024 marks, when he missed four attempts each season. The three-year aggregate tells a consistent story: 25 field goals per season on 28 attempts, with 28 extra points on 31 attempts. Now with San Francisco, he sits behind a high-volume offense that generated 38 extra point attempts in 2025 alone, the most of any season in this sample.
What the model projects
The projection is 107.5 half-PPR fantasy points. That sits below the median simulated season of 116.8, which reflects the shape of the outcome distribution rather than any contradiction. His draft value is -61.8, placing him K21 and #240 overall in Tier 9. At that tier and rank, the projection reflects a kicker whose volume and accuracy history are real but whose position-level surplus over replacement is negative in a 12-team half-PPR format.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 105.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | 4 | 33 | 103.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | 1 | 34 | 139.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 25 | 3 | 28 | 25.0 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, as it is for every kicker. The bottom 10% of outcomes lands at 22.3 points, a floor that reflects how volatile a kicker's season can be when volume or accuracy collapses. The 25th percentile is 75.9 points. The median is 116.8. The 75th percentile reaches 134.5, and the top 10% of outcomes climbs to 155.1 points. The distance from the p10 to the p90 is 132.8 points, underscoring that kicker outcomes carry more season-to-season variance than almost any other position. Pineiro's 2025 accuracy gives the upside case a real foundation, but the downside case is always present at the position.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Pineiro is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically taken in the final rounds, and Pineiro's K21 ranking and #240 overall placement in Tier 9 reflect a player who projects below replacement level in this format. Draft him only after every other positional need is addressed, and only if his 2025 accuracy and San Francisco's extra-point volume make him the most appealing option still available at that stage of your draft.
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Questions drafters ask
He made 28 of 29 field goal attempts in 2025, missing just one. That included 10 makes from 40-49 yards and 6 from 50-plus, his best long-range output in the three-year sample.
The projection is 107.5 points. The top 10% of simulated seasons reaches 155.1 points, so the ceiling is real, but the bottom 10% sits at just 22.3 points, reflecting how wide kicker outcome variance can run.
In 2025 he had 38 extra point attempts and converted 34. That was up from 35 attempts in 2024 and 20 in 2023, suggesting the offense behind him has grown as a source of kicker volume.
He is K21 and #240 overall in Tier 9. His draft value of -61.8 places him below replacement level at the position in a 12-team half-PPR format.
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Beyond the numbers
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