#9 overall · MIA · 193.6 projected half-PPR pts · +76.7 Draft Value · Market ADP 11.3
De'Von Achane — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
De'Von Achane has built a three-year résumé that earns serious attention. In 2025 he rushed 238 times for 1,350 yards and 8 touchdowns while catching 67 of 85 targets for 488 yards and 4 more scores. That receiving volume — 85 targets, 67 receptions — is not a fluke; he drew 87 targets and hauled in 78 of them in 2024 as well. The three-year averages tell the same story: 181.3 rush attempts, 1,019 rush yards, 7.3 rush touchdowns, 57.3 receptions, 425.7 receiving yards, and 4.3 receiving touchdowns per season. Achane is a dual-threat back whose workload has grown each year, and that combination of rushing production and pass-game involvement is what drives his standing on this board.
What the model projects
The projection comes in at 193.6 half-PPR fantasy points. That output translates to a draft value of +76.7 — meaning he projects 76.7 points above the replacement-level running back in a 12-team half-PPR format. Those numbers place him #9 overall and RB5, sitting in Tier 3 on the board. His bye week is Week 6.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 800 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 197 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 177.2 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 907 | 6 | 87 | 78 | 592 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 260.9 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 1350 | 8 | 85 | 67 | 488 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 289.3 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 181.3 | 1019 | 7.3 | 69.7 | 57.3 | 425.7 | 4.3 | 1 | — | — | 242.7 |
The range of outcomes
Achane's season-outcome band reflects the variance that comes with a high-touch running back role. At the low end (p10), a bad season lands around the kind of output you'd expect from missed games or a cold stretch of efficiency. The median simulated season (p50) tracks close to the 193.6 projection. A top-10% outcome (p90) — a great season — pushes well into elite RB1 territory. The fumble history (one per season in each of the last three years) is a modest but real floor risk. On the upside, his receiving role gives him a path to points even in weeks where the ground game stalls; 78 receptions in 2024 and 67 in 2025 show that floor is genuine.
How to draft him
Market ADP sits at 11.3 — pick 1.11 in a 12-team draft, drawn from two platforms. That means you are spending a late first-round pick to land him. Our board has him at #9 overall and RB5, so the conversation about Achane starts in the first round and ends there. If you want him, plan accordingly: he will not be available in Round 2.
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Questions drafters ask
It's substantial and consistent. He drew 87 targets in 2024 (78 receptions, 592 yards, 6 TDs) and 85 targets in 2025 (67 receptions, 488 yards, 4 TDs). Over three seasons he averages 69.7 targets and 57.3 receptions per year — a genuine pass-game role, not a token one.
He projects at 193.6 half-PPR points with a draft value of +76.7, placing him #9 overall and RB5. He sits in Tier 3 on the board.
Market ADP is 11.3, which works out to pick 1.11 in a 12-team draft. If you want Achane, you need to spend a late first-round selection — he is not a player you can wait on.
It's worth noting. Achane has fumbled exactly once in each of the last three seasons (2023, 2024, and 2025), losing one of those. It's a consistent data point, though the frequency — one fumble per season — has not derailed his overall production.