#46 overall · CHI · 135.9 projected half-PPR pts · +19.1 Draft Value · Market ADP 52.4
D'Andre Swift — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
D'Andre Swift has cleared 1,000 rushing yards in two of the last three seasons — 1,049 in 2023 and 1,087 in 2025 — while averaging 235 rush attempts per year over that span. He is a genuine three-down back: his 3-year averages of 49.7 targets, 38.3 receptions, and 299.7 receiving yards per season confirm he stays on the field in passing situations. The touchdown production has climbed, too — 6 combined scores in 2023, 6 in 2024, and 10 in 2025. That kind of volume and versatility is the foundation of a reliable fantasy contributor.
What the model projects
The model projects Swift at 135.9 half-PPR fantasy points this season. That output sits at a positive draft value of +19.1 points above replacement level at the running back position, placing him #46 overall and RB19 in Tier 7 on the board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 1049 | 5 | 49 | 39 | 214 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179.8 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 959 | 6 | 52 | 42 | 386 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 191.5 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 1087 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 299 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211.6 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 235 | 1031.7 | 6.7 | 49.7 | 38.3 | 299.7 | 0.7 | 2.3 | — | — | 196.7 |
The range of outcomes
Swift's season-to-season history illustrates the variance baked into his profile. His rushing yards have ranged from 959 (2024) to 1,087 (2025), and his touchdown totals have swung from 6 to 10 combined scores across those three years. His receiving work has been consistent — 34 to 42 receptions annually — which provides a floor, but the rushing efficiency and touchdown rate are the levers that move his ceiling. A high-end season looks like 2025: 1,000-plus rushing yards, 9 rushing touchdowns, and a receiving contribution. A low-end season looks more like 2024: sub-1,000 rushing yards, no receiving touchdowns, and a modest overall line. The fumble rate (2.3 per year on average) is a persistent risk worth monitoring.
How to draft him
Swift is coming off the board at an average pick of 52.4 — round 5, pick 4 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. The model has him at #46 overall with a draft value of +19.1 above replacement. Plan to commit a fifth-round pick if you want him on your roster. His bye is Week 10, which is worth noting for lineup management mid-season.
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Questions drafters ask
He has averaged 235 rush attempts and 1,031.7 rushing yards per season from 2023 to 2025, clearing 1,000 yards in two of those three years (1,049 in 2023 and 1,087 in 2025). The 2024 season dipped to 959 rushing yards, so the volume has been high but not perfectly uniform.
Yes. Over the last three seasons he has averaged 49.7 targets, 38.3 receptions, and 299.7 receiving yards per year, confirming he is a consistent pass-catching option out of the backfield.
Market ADP has him going at pick 52.4 on average — round 5, pick 4 in a 12-team draft — based on a median across two platforms. Budget a fifth-round selection if he is on your target list.
He has averaged 2.3 fumbles per season over the last three years, losing 1 in 2023 and 2 in 2025 (2024 fumbles-lost data not provided in FACTS). It is a real and recurring part of his profile.