#304 overall · BUF · 47.2 projected half-PPR pts · -75.3 Draft Value
Joshua Palmer — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Joshua Palmer is a Buffalo wide receiver with two consecutive seasons of 580-plus receiving yards and 60-plus targets on his résumé. In 2023 he caught 38 of 61 targets for 581 yards and 2 touchdowns. In 2024 he caught 39 of 65 targets for 584 yards and 1 touchdown. That back-to-back consistency at a volume-friendly target share is the foundation of any argument for him. His catch rate across both of those seasons was strong, and he did it without a fumble in 2024. For a drafter hunting late-round depth or a handcuff-style upside play, that track record is the starting point.
What the model projects
The projection for Palmer in 2026 is 47.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -75.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR98 at the position and #304 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. Buffalo's bye week is Week 7. These numbers reflect where Palmer stands heading into 2026 drafts — a deep-roster option rather than a contributor at standard roster sizes.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 61 | 38 | 581 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 87.7 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 39 | 584 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 83.9 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 41.3 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3 | 2 | — | 54.3 | 33 | 489.3 | 1 | 0.3 | — | — | 71.6 |
The range of outcomes
The three-year averages tell a story of modest but real production: 54.3 targets, 33 receptions, 489.3 receiving yards, and 1 receiving touchdown per season. The 2025 season pulled those averages down — 37 targets, 22 receptions, 303 yards, and zero touchdowns in a noticeably reduced role. The gap between his 2023–2024 floor (61–65 targets, 580-plus yards) and his 2025 output (37 targets, 303 yards) defines the width of his outcome band. A return toward the 2023–2024 level would make him a functional WR3/flex; a repeat of 2025 keeps him off most relevant rosters entirely.
How to draft him
Palmer does not have a consistent market ADP across platforms, so there is no established draft-slot price to report. At #304 overall and WR98, he is a player for the final rounds of deep leagues or as a late add in standard 12-team formats. His Tier 9 placement signals he belongs at the very back of draft boards. Target him only after your starting lineup and primary depth are fully secured — he is a speculative hold on the chance that his 2023–2024 target volume reasserts itself.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
In 2023 he posted 61 targets, 38 receptions, 581 receiving yards, and 2 touchdowns. In 2024 it was 65 targets, 39 receptions, 584 yards, and 1 touchdown. In 2025 those numbers dropped to 37 targets, 22 receptions, 303 yards, and 0 touchdowns. His three-year averages are 54.3 targets, 33 receptions, 489.3 yards, and 1 touchdown per season.
He ranks WR98 at the position and #304 overall, with a projected 47.2 half-PPR points and a draft value of -75.3. He sits in Tier 9 on the board.
There is no consistent market ADP available for Palmer across platforms. His #304 overall rank and Tier 9 placement put him at the very back of draft boards — a late-round or final-pick target in deep leagues only.
His draft value of -75.3 places him below replacement level at wide receiver, and his WR98 rank reflects that. He is a speculative depth option rather than a player who projects to contribute at standard roster sizes.