#188 overall · HOU · 80.4 projected half-PPR pts · -36.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 133.0
Woody Marks — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Woody Marks logged 196 rush attempts, 703 rush yards, 36 targets, 24 receptions, 208 receiving yards, 2 rush touchdowns, and 3 receiving touchdowns in 2025. That is a full workload — both as a runner and as a pass-catcher — and the three-year aggregate numbers are identical to the single-season line, meaning 2025 was his entire NFL résumé compressed into one year. For a back-end roster spot, that kind of documented usage is the foundation you are looking for.
What the model projects
The projection is 80.4 half-PPR fantasy points. Marks ranks #188 overall and RB44, sitting in Tier 9. His Draft Value is -36.5, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the running back position on a 12-team half-PPR baseline.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 703 | 2 | 36 | 24 | 208 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133.1 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 196 | 703 | 2 | 36 | 24 | 208 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 133.1 |
The range of outcomes
The facts on hand are a single season of NFL work. That limited sample produces real variance in simulated outcomes. The projection of 80.4 points represents the point estimate; the spread around it reflects how much a one-year résumé can swing in either direction depending on role, volume, and scoring luck. Drafters should treat the 80.4 as a central case, not a floor.
How to draft him
Market ADP is 133.0 — the first pick of Round 12 in a 12-team draft (12.01), drawn from two platforms. Our rank is #188 overall. If you want Marks on your roster, the market is currently pricing him well ahead of where the projection places him, so you would need to spend a Round 12 pick to secure him. At that stage of the draft, roster construction and positional need should drive the decision.
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Questions drafters ask
He carried the ball 196 times for 703 rush yards and 2 rush touchdowns, while also drawing 36 targets and catching 24 of them for 208 yards and 3 receiving touchdowns. He fumbled once.
He is RB44 and #188 overall, sitting in Tier 9, with a Draft Value of -36.5 — below replacement level at running back on a 12-team half-PPR baseline.
The projection is 80.4 half-PPR fantasy points.
Market ADP is 133.0, which works out to pick 12.01 — the first pick of Round 12 in a 12-team draft. That figure comes from two platforms, so treat it as a directional read rather than a deep consensus.