#280 overall · BUF · 94.9 projected half-PPR pts · -74.3 Draft Value
Tyler Bass — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyler Bass has been a model of consistency in Buffalo. Over the past three seasons he has averaged 24 made field goals and 54 extra points per year on 29 attempts, with a miss rate that rounds to 4.5 per season. The 2024 season added a notable uptick in extra-point volume: 64 attempts and 59 conversions, reflecting a Buffalo offense that kept finding the end zone. His range holds up at distance, too. In each of the last two seasons he connected on four field goals from 50-plus yards. For a kicker, that combination of volume and range is the foundation of a viable fantasy floor.
What the model projects
The projection is 94.9 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -74.3, placing him at K29 and #280 overall in Tier 9. Those numbers reflect where kickers as a class sit in value-over-replacement terms: even a productive kicker like Bass projects below replacement level at this stage of the rankings. The projection is the number to anchor on; the rank and tier tell you where he stands relative to the rest of the pool.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | 4 | 49 | 129.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | 5 | 59 | 141.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24 | 4.5 | 54 | 49.5 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is normal for the position. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons lands at 0.0 points; the 25th percentile is 5.6. The median simulated season is 42.6 points, well below the 94.9 point projection, which signals that the distribution is skewed by a meaningful upside tail. The 75th percentile reaches 113.6 and the 90th percentile hits 178.4. That top-end outcome is driven by the same ingredients visible in his recent history: a high-volume offense, consistent field-goal attempts, and demonstrated range beyond 50 yards. The downside, however, is real and steep. A bad simulated season for Bass is not just a quiet year; it is close to zero production.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Bass is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost signal to work with. At K29 and #280 overall, he sits deep in Tier 9. The standard approach with kickers is to wait until the final rounds of a snake draft, and Bass fits that framework. His bye falls in Week 7, worth noting when you are stacking your roster late. If you want the Buffalo volume and the 50-plus range, he is available to be taken whenever you decide kicker is worth addressing.
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Questions drafters ask
He has averaged 24 made field goals and 29 attempts per season over the past three years, with a three-year average of 4.5 misses per season. That is a steady workload with a consistent accuracy profile.
Yes. He connected on four field goals from 50-plus yards in both 2023 and 2024. That range, combined with Buffalo's extra-point volume (64 attempts in 2024), supports the 90th-percentile simulated outcome of 178.4 half-PPR points.
The 10th-percentile simulated outcome is 0.0 points and the 25th percentile is just 5.6. The downside for Bass, as with kickers generally, is not a quiet year but near-zero production.
He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. At K29 and #280 overall in Tier 9, he fits the standard late-round kicker strategy. His bye is Week 7, which is worth factoring into your late-round roster construction.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
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