#75 overall · NE · 116.9 projected half-PPR pts · +0.0 Draft Value · Market ADP 76.5
Rhamondre Stevenson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Rhamondre Stevenson has been New England's featured back in each of the last three seasons, averaging 164.3 rush attempts and 43 targets per year from 2023 through 2025. He has posted rushing touchdown totals of 4, 7, and 7 across those campaigns, and his receiving work — averaging 34.3 receptions and 250.3 receiving yards per season — gives him a floor that pure between-the-tackles backs cannot match. The role is real, the volume is real, and the touch share has been consistent.
What the model projects
The projection is 116.9 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. That output lands him at RB25 and #75 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board. His draft value sits at exactly +0.0, meaning he projects right at replacement level for his position — not above it, not below it. He is a back whose projected production matches what the baseline expects from the RB25 slot.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 619 | 4 | 51 | 38 | 238 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 126.7 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 801 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 168 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 155.4 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 603 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 345 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 158.8 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 164.3 | 674.3 | 6 | 43 | 34.3 | 250.3 | 1 | 3.7 | — | — | 151.6 |
The range of outcomes
Stevenson's season-to-season variance is real and worth understanding before you commit a pick. On the upside, his 2024 season showed what a healthy, high-volume year looks like: 207 rush attempts, 801 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, and 8 total touchdowns. On the downside, his 2025 campaign saw rush attempts fall to 130 and rushing yards drop to 603, even as he matched the 7 rushing touchdowns. The fumble history adds another layer of risk: he totaled 1, 7, and 3 fumbles across 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively — a three-year average of 3.7 total fumbles per season. Of those, he lost 1, 3, and 3 fumbles in those same years, a fumbles-lost average of roughly 2.3 per season. Both figures are worth tracking. The ceiling is a back who scores 8-plus touchdowns and contributes in the passing game; the floor is a back whose touch count erodes and whose fumble issues cost him snaps.
How to draft him
Market ADP has Stevenson going at pick 76.5 — round 7, pick 5 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. Our model ranks him #75 overall and RB25. His bye is Week 11. If you want him, round 7 is where you will need to spend the pick. Plan your board accordingly so you are not caught short at running back if he is gone before you expected.
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Questions drafters ask
The three-year history supports a featured-back role. He averaged 164.3 rush attempts and 43 targets per season from 2023 through 2025, with 34.3 receptions per year. That is consistent lead-back volume, not a timeshare profile.
It is a legitimate concern. Stevenson averaged 3.7 total fumbles per season over the last three years (1 in 2023, 7 in 2024, 3 in 2025), losing an average of roughly 2.3 per season (1, 3, and 3 in those respective years). Fumbles lost can cost him both points and playing time, so the risk is real and should factor into how much capital you spend.
Market ADP puts him at pick 76.5 — round 7, pick 5 in a 12-team draft, drawn from a median across two platforms. That is the window where he is coming off the board in public drafts.
His draft value is exactly +0.0, meaning his 116.9 projected half-PPR points land him precisely at replacement level for the RB position. He is ranked RB25 and #75 overall. There is no surplus above replacement baked into this projection.