#153 overall · GB · 97.0 projected half-PPR pts · -25.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 118.4
Matthew Golden — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Matthew Golden is a Green Bay wide receiver with a bye in Week 11. In 2025 — his only NFL season on record — he logged 44 targets, 29 receptions, 361 receiving yards, and 49 rush yards on 10 carries. No touchdowns appeared in that line, which means every yard he produced came without the scoring upside that typically inflates a rookie receiver's half-PPR total. The raw volume is modest, but it is real NFL production, and it belongs to a young receiver still early in his development curve. Drafters who believe that curve bends upward in 2026 have a concrete foundation to point to.
What the model projects
The projection for Golden is 97.0 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -25.5, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR60 at the position and #153 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 0 | 44 | 29 | 361 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55.5 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 49 | — | 44 | 29 | 361 | — | — | — | 55.5 |
The range of outcomes
The facts on file do not include a simulated outcome band for Golden, so the percentile spread cannot be reported here. What the season-level history does show is a player whose 2025 production — 361 receiving yards, zero touchdowns, 29 catches on 44 targets — represents the entirety of his NFL record. That single-season baseline, combined with a projection of 97.0 points, signals a wide range of plausible futures: a breakout would push him well past that number; a static role would keep him near or below it.
How to draft him
Golden's market ADP is 118.4, which works out to pick 10.10 in a 12-team snake draft — that figure is drawn from two platforms, so treat it as a directional read rather than a settled consensus. Our model has him at #153 overall. If you want him on your roster, the market is currently pricing him around the tenth round. At that stage of a draft, roster construction is largely complete and you are hunting for upside; Golden fits that profile as a late-round flier on a receiver whose role in Green Bay could expand.
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Questions drafters ask
He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 receiving yards and added 49 rush yards on 10 carries. He did not score a touchdown in any of those touches.
Golden projects for 97.0 half-PPR points, ranks WR60 at his position, sits at #153 overall, and lands in Tier 9. His draft value of -25.5 puts him below replacement level at wide receiver.
His market ADP is 118.4 — pick 10.10 in a 12-team draft — based on data from two platforms. That is the round where he is currently coming off the board.
No. The three-year aggregate (2023–2025) matches his 2025 line exactly: 44 targets, 29 receptions, 361 receiving yards, 10 rush attempts, 49 rush yards. All of his NFL production comes from that single season.