#266 overall · BUF · 62.7 projected half-PPR pts · -67.2 Draft Value
Matt Prater — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Matt Prater lands with the Buffalo Bills and brings a three-year track record of reliability at the position. His 2025 season stands out on volume: 49 extra-point attempts, 46 conversions, 20 field-goal attempts, and 18 makes. That extra-point workload reflects a high-scoring offense behind him. His three-year average of 17.3 field goals made per season, on 19.7 attempts, pairs with a field-goal miss average of just 2.3 per year — a clean conversion rate over a meaningful sample. If you need a kicker late in your draft, the volume argument is real.
What the model projects
The projection is 62.7 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. His draft value sits at -67.2, placing him #266 overall and K33. He is a Tier 9 asset on the board. Those numbers reflect where kickers land in a value-over-replacement framework: even a productive one operates well below replacement level in a 12-team half-PPR context.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | — | 22 | 106.0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | — | 10 | 28.0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | 46 | 100.0 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.3 | 2.3 | 26 | 75.6 |
The range of outcomes
Prater's recent seasons illustrate how wide kicker variance can run. In 2023 he attempted 33 field goals and made 28, with 22 of 23 extra points — a full, productive season. In 2024 the numbers compressed sharply: 6 field-goal attempts, 6 makes, 10 of 10 extra points. In 2025 the extra-point volume surged to 49 attempts (46 made) while field-goal attempts dropped to 20. That swing from season to season is the core risk. His three-year average field-goal miss rate is 2.3 per year; his extra-point misses averaged roughly 1.3 per year over the same span — a combined miss rate closer to 3.6 per year. Volume and accuracy can both shift dramatically from one year to the next.
How to draft him
Prater does not have a market ADP available, meaning he is not being consistently drafted across platforms at this time. At K33 and #266 overall, he is a deep-roster option at best. In a standard 12-team snake draft, kickers are typically the last positional group selected, and Prater's rank places him at the back of that group. Draft him only if you are filling a kicker slot in the final rounds and his name is still on the board.
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Questions drafters ask
He went 18-of-20 on field goals and 46-of-49 on extra points in 2025 — a high-volume extra-point season driven by a productive offense.
His three-year average (2023–2025) is 17.3 field goals made on 19.7 attempts, with a field-goal miss average of 2.3 per year. Extra-point misses averaged roughly 1.3 per year over the same span.
He is K33 and #266 overall with a draft value of -67.2, placing him in Tier 9. That puts him at the very back of the kicker pool in a value-over-replacement framework — a late-round fill-in only.
He has no market ADP available, so there is no consistent draft-slot signal from public drafts. Given his rank of K33 and #266 overall, he belongs at the very end of your draft if you need a kicker and he remains available.