#219 overall · NYG · 218.6 projected half-PPR pts · -48.8 Draft Value · Market ADP 103.4
Jaxson Dart — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Jaxson Dart is a young quarterback with genuine dual-threat credentials. In 2025 he posted 487 rushing yards and 9 rushing touchdowns on 86 attempts — a ground contribution that keeps him relevant in fantasy formats that reward quarterback mobility. He completed 216 of 339 pass attempts for 2,272 yards and 15 passing touchdowns against 5 interceptions, giving him a clean enough turnover profile to build around. The rushing floor is real, and in a half-PPR snake draft, that floor matters when evaluating a late-round quarterback.
What the model projects
The projection for Dart is 218.6 half-PPR fantasy points in 2026. His draft value sits at -48.8, meaning he projects below replacement level at the quarterback position. He ranks QB18 at the position and #219 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the full board. These numbers reflect a player who is currently outside the range where positional value is generated in a standard 12-team half-PPR context.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 339 | 216 | 2272 | 15 | 5 | 86 | 487 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 244.6 |
| 3-yr avg | 339 | 216 | 2272 | 15 | 5 | 86 | 487 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 248.6 |
The range of outcomes
The 3-year aggregate stat line matches his 2025 season exactly, which tells you his NFL sample is a single year. That limited track record widens the outcome band considerably. On the upside, a quarterback who rushed for 9 touchdowns in his first full season has a credible path to a larger role and improved passing volume as he develops. On the downside, 2,272 passing yards on 339 attempts is a modest per-attempt output, and 5 fumbles (2 lost) alongside 5 interceptions represent a turnover rate that could suppress value if it persists. The gap between a breakout sophomore season and a continued developmental plateau is wide.
How to draft him
Market ADP for Dart is 103.4 — round 9, pick 7 in a 12-team draft, drawn from 2 platforms. That is the pick you would need to spend to secure him. His model rank is #219 overall and QB18. In a single-quarterback league, the standard approach is to wait on the position and let the board come to you; Dart's numbers place him squarely in that late-round, handcuff-or-streamer tier. His bye is Week 8, worth noting when constructing your roster. If you are targeting him as a late-round dart throw on rushing upside, know that the projection currently does not support him as a starter in a 12-team half-PPR league.
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Questions drafters ask
In 2025 he rushed 86 times for 487 yards and 9 touchdowns — that is a legitimate ground game for a quarterback. It is the primary reason he has any fantasy floor at all, even with a projection of 218.6 points that currently sits below replacement level at the position.
Based on market ADP of 103.4 across 2 platforms, he is going in round 9, pick 7 of a 12-team draft. That is the pick cost if you want to lock him in.
He is QB18 at the position and #219 overall, sitting in Tier 9 on the full board. His draft value of -48.8 places him below replacement level for the quarterback position in a 12-team half-PPR context.
His 3-year aggregate stats match his 2025 season exactly — 339 pass attempts, 216 completions, 2,272 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions — meaning 2025 is his entire NFL sample heading into the 2026 season.