#222 overall · NE · 71.2 projected half-PPR pts · -51.3 Draft Value
Kayshon Boutte — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Boutte's 2025 season showed a receiver who turned a modest target share into real production. On just 46 targets he hauled in 33 receptions for 551 yards and 6 touchdowns — a touchdown rate that stands as the clearest argument in his favor. His 2024 line of 68 targets, 43 receptions, 589 yards, and 3 scores demonstrated he can handle a larger workload when the opportunity is there. The touchdowns are the thread worth pulling: he has gone from 0 in 2023 to 3 in 2024 to 6 in 2025, and that trajectory is not nothing.
What the model projects
The projection for Boutte is 71.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value sits at -51.3, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He ranks WR70 and #222 overall, placing him in Tier 9 on the board.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 43 | 589 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 98.4 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 33 | 551 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 107.6 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40.3 | 26 | 386.3 | 3 | — | — | 69.6 |
The range of outcomes
Boutte's profile carries real variance. His target totals have swung from 7 in 2023 to 68 in 2024 to 46 in 2025, and his touchdown production has been similarly uneven. A season in which the targets climb back toward 2024 levels and the touchdown rate holds would push his value well above the projection. A season in which targets compress further would leave him well short of even 71.2 points. The three-year averages — 40.3 targets, 26 receptions, 386.3 yards, and 3 touchdowns per season — reflect just how wide that band has been in practice.
How to draft him
Boutte is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. He is a late-round or undrafted option in most 12-team leagues, and at WR70 and #222 overall he is a depth add rather than a building block. If you are chasing touchdown upside at the back end of a draft, his 2025 score total gives you a reason to write his name down — but his draft value of -51.3 means the projection does not yet support a roster spot in standard formats without a clear path to more targets.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 71.2 points and a draft value of -51.3 put him below replacement level at wide receiver — WR70 and #222 overall. He is a depth or waiver-wire candidate, not a reliable starter.
His 2024 season offers the clearest upside ceiling: 68 targets, 43 receptions, 589 yards, and 3 touchdowns. If his target share returns to that level and his 2025 touchdown rate (6 scores on 46 targets) carries over, the production could significantly exceed the 71.2-point projection.
Not very. His target totals over three seasons were 7, 68, and 46, and his receiving yards were 19, 589, and 551. The three-year averages of 40.3 targets, 26 receptions, and 386.3 yards per season reflect that inconsistency.
He does not have a market ADP — he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce one. In most 12-team drafts he will be available on the waiver wire or in the final rounds, if taken at all.