#260 overall · TB · 56.8 projected half-PPR pts · -65.7 Draft Value
Tez Johnson — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tez Johnson's 2025 season was brief in volume but not in impact. He turned 44 targets into 28 receptions for 322 receiving yards and five receiving touchdowns — a touchdown rate that stands on its own as a legitimate data point. Add 7 rush attempts for 22 yards and you have a player who touched the ball in multiple ways. The five scores on that target share tell a real story about red-zone or high-leverage usage, and that kind of efficiency is the seed of a breakout argument heading into 2026.
What the model projects
The projection is 56.8 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. His draft value is -65.7, placing him #260 overall and WR81. He sits in Tier 9 on the board. Those numbers reflect a player whose current projection sits below replacement level at the wide receiver position. His bye week is Week 10.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 44 | 28 | 322 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 78.4 |
| 3-yr avg | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 22 | — | 44 | 28 | 322 | 5 | — | — | 78.4 |
The range of outcomes
No band data is available for Tez Johnson in the current projection set, so the full percentile spread cannot be reported here. What the facts do establish is a narrow historical base — 2025 is the entirety of his three-year aggregate, meaning every number in his profile traces back to a single season. That concentration of data is itself a signal of how wide the real-world outcome range could be: a player with one season of NFL production can move sharply in either direction.
How to draft him
Tez Johnson does not have a market ADP across public 2026 draft platforms, which means he is not being consistently drafted in standard snake formats at this time. At #260 overall and WR81, he is a deep-roster or late-waiver-wire consideration rather than a pick you need to plan around on draft day. If you want him on your roster, the path is likely the waiver wire rather than a draft pick. His Week 10 bye is worth noting for roster management if he does land on your team.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
His projection of 56.8 points and a draft value of -65.7 put him at #260 overall and WR81 — below replacement level at the position. He has no market ADP across public platforms, meaning the consensus is that he is not a draftable asset in standard formats right now.
He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 receiving yards and five receiving touchdowns, adding 7 rush attempts for 22 yards. Those five scores on 44 targets represent a notable efficiency rate, and 2025 is the only season in his three-year aggregate — his entire NFL production fits in one season.
He scored five receiving touchdowns on 44 targets in 2025, which is the full extent of his NFL history. That is a high touchdown rate on a modest target share, but it rests on a single season of data, so the sample is thin.
Week 10.