#13 overall · ATL · 195.0 projected half-PPR pts · +72.5 Draft Value · Market ADP 14.9
Drake London — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Drake London has been one of the most targeted wide receivers in the NFL over the past three seasons. He saw 110 targets in 2023, 158 in 2024, and 112 in 2025 — a three-year average of 126.7 targets per season. That volume is the foundation. In 2024 he turned that target share into 1,271 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns on 100 receptions. Even in a quieter 2025, he posted 919 yards and 7 touchdowns on 68 catches. The touchdowns have been consistent, the target floor has been consistent, and the 2024 breakout season shows what the ceiling looks like when everything connects. Atlanta's WR1 with a proven role and a three-year track record of being fed the ball.
What the model projects
The projection is 195.0 half-PPR fantasy points, producing a Draft Value of +72.5 above replacement level. That places London at #13 overall and WR7, sitting in Tier 3 on the board. The three-year average of 79 receptions, 1,031.7 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns per season anchors the baseline. The 2024 season — 100 receptions, 1,271 yards, 9 touchdowns — sits at the upper end of what his target volume can produce, and the projection reflects a season that lands between that peak and his more modest years.
| Att | Comp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | FG | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 69 | 905 | 2 | — | 0 | 0 | 137.9 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 158 | 100 | 1271 | 9 | — | 0 | 0 | 230.8 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | 68 | 919 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 165.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 7.3 | — | — | 0.3 | -1 | — | 126.7 | 79 | 1031.7 | 6 | 0.3 | — | — | 178.9 |
The range of outcomes
London's band of simulated outcomes reflects the variance that comes with a receiver whose touchdown production has ranged from 2 (2023) to 9 (2024) to 7 (2025). The target floor is real — he has not dipped below 110 targets in any of the last three seasons — but yardage and scoring efficiency can swing meaningfully. A bad season looks like 2023: high targets, modest yardage, minimal touchdowns. A great season looks like 2024: elite volume translating into elite production. The median outcome sits comfortably above replacement level, but drafters should expect year-to-year variance in the scoring column.
How to draft him
London's market ADP is 14.9, which works out to pick 2.03 in a 12-team snake draft — meaning you will need to spend your second-round pick to secure him. That is the window: if you want London, the second round is where the market is pricing him. His bye is Week 11, so plan your roster depth accordingly for that stretch of the season.
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Questions drafters ask
London has seen 110 targets in 2023, 158 in 2024, and 112 in 2025, for a three-year average of 126.7 targets per season.
The projection is 195.0 half-PPR fantasy points, a Draft Value of +72.5 above replacement level, ranking him #13 overall and WR7 in Tier 3.
His market ADP is 14.9, which translates to pick 2.03 in a 12-team draft — you will need to use a second-round pick to land him.
His 2023 season is the clearest downside reference: 110 targets produced 69 receptions, 905 yards, and only 2 receiving touchdowns. High volume does not guarantee high scoring if efficiency and touchdowns regress.