#14 overall · ATL · 196.8 projected half-PPR pts · +71.6 Draft Value · Market ADP 16.7
Drake London — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Drake London has been one of the most heavily targeted wide receivers in the NFL over the past three seasons. In 2024 he turned 158 targets into 100 receptions, 1,271 receiving yards, and 9 touchdowns. That target share is the foundation of everything: over the three-year window from 2023 through 2025, he averaged 126.7 targets per season, 79 receptions, 1,031.7 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns. Volume at that level does not happen by accident, and it does not disappear quietly. London is WR5 in these rankings, sitting at #14 overall, with a draft value of +71.6 points above replacement. That is a positive surplus at a position where replacement-level production is easy to find in the middle rounds. The case starts and ends with target volume, and the numbers back it up across three consecutive seasons.
What the model projects
The projection for London is 196.8 half-PPR fantasy points. His bye week is Week 11. At WR5 and #14 overall, he sits in Tier 4 of the rankings. The point estimate of 196.8 sits below the median simulated season of 207.4, which tells you the distribution has a longer tail on the upside than the downside. Either way, the projection places him firmly inside the top-15 overall and inside the top-five at his position.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 110 | 69 | 905 | 2 | — | — | — | 137.9 |
| 2024 | 158 | 100 | 1271 | 9 | 1 | -3 | — | 230.8 |
| 2025 | 112 | 68 | 919 | 7 | — | — | 1 | 165.9 |
| 3-yr avg | 126.7 | 79 | 1031.7 | 6 | 0.3 | -1 | 0.3 | 178.9 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band for London runs from 119.4 points at the 10th percentile to 273.6 at the 90th. The 25th percentile lands at 162.2 and the 75th at 241.2, giving a middle-50 range of roughly 79 points. The median simulated season is 207.4. The floor at p10 is a real number to respect: 119.4 points is a below-average fantasy season at the position. The ceiling at p90, 273.6, is a genuine WR1 outcome. That spread reflects a player whose target volume is consistent but whose touchdown and yardage totals have moved around: 2 receiving touchdowns in 2023, 9 in 2024, 7 in 2025. Touchdown variance is the primary driver of the wide band, and it cuts both ways.
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our projection
How to draft him
London is ranked #14 overall and WR5 in these rankings. The market ADP, drawn from 2 platforms, is 16.7, which works out to pick 2.05 in a 12-team snake draft. That means you are spending a second-round pick to land him. In a standard 12-team half-PPR draft, your second-round pick is a premium asset, and that is the price the market is currently setting for London. Plan accordingly: if you want him, the pick comes early in Round 2.
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Questions drafters ask
Consistent and high. He saw 110 targets in 2023, 158 in 2024, and 112 in 2025, for a three-year average of 126.7 targets per season.
The projection is 196.8 half-PPR fantasy points. That places him at WR5 and #14 overall, with a draft value of +71.6 points above replacement level.
The band runs from 119.4 points at the 10th percentile to 273.6 at the 90th. The median simulated season is 207.4. The middle 50 percent of outcomes falls between 162.2 and 241.2, a spread of about 79 points driven largely by touchdown variance across his three-season history.
The market ADP is 16.7, which translates to pick 2.05 in a 12-team draft. You are looking at a second-round commitment if you want him on your roster.
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Beyond the numbers
The same names cash in your league every year
That isn't luck. Those managers have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written. Paste it in a couple of minutes and RotoAlpha writes the book on every rival: who reaches, who chases runs, who overpays. The rival report is free.
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