#150 overall · JAX · 104.2 projected half-PPR pts · -24.8 Draft Value
Jacksonville Jaguars — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
The Jacksonville Jaguars DST has shown genuine playmaking range across three seasons. In 2025 they posted 22 interceptions, 11 forced fumbles, 9 fumble recoveries, 4 defensive touchdowns, and a safety — a turnover-heavy profile that can produce big fantasy weeks in a hurry. The three-year averages back that up: 14.7 interceptions, 9.3 forced fumbles, 7.7 fumble recoveries, and 35.3 sacks per season. The 2025 points-allowed figure of 336 was the best of the three-year window, and the defensive touchdown total of 4 was also a three-year high. If that trajectory holds, there is a real floor here built on consistent pressure and ball-hawking.
What the model projects
The projection is 104.2 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. That places Jacksonville DST at DST18 and #150 overall, landing in Tier 9. The draft value is -24.8, meaning the projection sits below the replacement-level baseline for the DST position on a 12-team half-PPR board. Jacksonville's bye week falls in Week 7.
| INT | Sacks | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 40 | 12 | 11 | 2 | — | 371 | 118.0 |
| 2024 | 6 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | 435 | 63.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 336 | 131.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 14.7 | 35.3 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 380.7 | 103.8 |
The range of outcomes
The three-season history illustrates how wide the outcome band can be for this unit. Interceptions swung from 6 in 2024 to 22 in 2025. Forced fumbles dropped to 5 in 2024 before rebounding to 11 in 2025. Points allowed ranged from 336 to 435 across the same window. Defensive touchdowns have been between 1 and 4. That volatility is the defining characteristic of this DST — the floor is a near-invisible 2024-style season, and the ceiling is a 2025-style turnover machine. The 2025 season represents the optimistic scenario; the 2024 season represents the risk.
How to draft him
Jacksonville DST is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. That means there is no established draft-slot cost to plan around. At DST18 and #150 overall with a negative draft value of -24.8, this is a late-round or streaming-candidate DST in a standard 12-team snake draft. Plan for the Week 7 bye and have a streaming option ready. The upside is real — the 2025 stat line proves it — but the projection and rank reflect a unit that, on balance, sits below replacement level for the position.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection of 104.2 points and a draft value of -24.8 place them below replacement level at the DST position (DST18, #150 overall, Tier 9). That profile fits a streaming option rather than a locked-in starter.
In 2025 they recorded 22 interceptions, 11 forced fumbles, 9 fumble recoveries, 4 defensive touchdowns, a safety, and 32 sacks — a genuinely productive fantasy line. The three-year averages (14.7 INTs, 9.3 forced fumbles, 35.3 sacks) show the upside is repeatable, though 2024 (6 INTs, 5 forced fumbles, 3 fumble recoveries) is a reminder of how quickly it can evaporate.
There is no market ADP available — the unit is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. Treat them as a late-pick or waiver-wire option and plan around their Week 7 bye.
The 2024 season is the clearest illustration: points allowed jumped to 435, interceptions fell to 6, forced fumbles dropped to 5, and fumble recoveries cratered to 3. That kind of regression is the downside scenario, and it produced a stat line well below what fantasy DST starters need.