Demo leagueA real league’s 20+ year history. Names and teams are fictional; every pick, price, and result is real.

Marisol Ibarra

21 seasonsScouting report as of today, full career and not this season alone.

Avg finish
5.1
Titles
2 last 2013
Biggest spend
RB 48%
Top-3 buys
52% of budget
New keepers
100% fresh each year

The clearest signal Marisol Ibarra sends at the auction table is a willingness to pay a meaningful premium for tight ends relative to what this league's own market sets as the going rate. That gap is the largest positional deviation in either direction across the roster, and it has held across fourteen auction seasons — enough to treat it as a firm expectation rather than a fluke. If you want a top tight end, plan to outbid a manager who has consistently paid above what the field around them has paid for the position.

The concentration of Ibarra's spending at the top of the board is the second thing to plan around. Roughly half of each season's budget has gone to the three most expensive buys, and that figure has been essentially unchanged in the last five seasons, so there is no sign of a shift. The practical consequence is that the dollars available for the middle and lower tiers of the roster are compressed — the roster they finish with will differ meaningfully from the one they draft, which is consistent with a career churn rate that has held near half the drafted roster across two decades.

Ibarra's keeper behavior sharpens the draft-day picture further. Every keeper slot has started a fresh streak — no player has been held more than one consecutive season — and that pattern covers the full five seasons of keeper data. That means the players they carry in will be first-year keepers, and the positions carried in lean toward wide receiver and running back. Combined with the heavy auction spend on running backs, the implication is that running back value will be contested early and often, both through keepers and through the auction itself.

One more signal worth noting is a recent uptick in rookie acquisition. Over the last five seasons Ibarra has taken a larger share of the available rookie pool than over the career as a whole, and their share of league-wide rookie picks has grown as well. That is a single directional shift, not a dramatic reinvention, but it suggests the later, cheaper end of the auction board — where unproven players tend to land — has drawn more attention recently than the career average would imply.

How they finish

across 21 seasons

Average finish
5.1
Field-adjusted
56%
Titles
2
Top-3 finishes
8
Best
1 of 12 (2013)
Worst
11 of 12 (2014)
Average points
1,397
Record
161-117-0 (21 seasons)
Best points season
1,789.4 (2021)
Volatility
29%
Current run
bottom half in last 1 season
Last title
2013
Last top-3
2023

Draft behavior: auction

across 14 seasons

Top-3 concentration
52%

Share of spend by position

  • RB48%
  • WR28%
  • TE11%
  • QB11%
  • DEF1%
  • K1%

Versus this league's own market

  • TE +$5.5
  • QB +$1.3
  • K +$0.3
  • DEF +$0.3
  • RB $-0.7
  • WR $-1.7

Budget discipline

across 14 seasons

Budget used
99.9%
Left unspent
$0.3 per draft

Share of each season's own budget spent at the draft.

Rookie appetite

across 21 seasons

Rookies drafted
28
Share of picks
10% (league 9%)

Rookie status known for 90% of picks in the 21 covered drafts.

QB stacks

across 21 seasons

Drafts with a stack
7 of 21 (league seat rate 41%)
Stacked pass-catchers
0.3 per draft

Teams stacked

  • 2 drafts
  • 2 drafts
  • 1 draft
  • 1 draft
  • 1 draft

A stack is a QB and a same-team WR/TE drafted in the same draft. Keeper slots excluded.

Players they keep coming back to

across 21 seasons

  • Julio JonesWR drafted in 6 of 21 drafts (2011–2022)
  • 49ersDEF drafted in 5 of 21 drafts (2007–2022)
  • Antonio GatesTE drafted in 5 of 21 drafts (2005–2012)
  • Drew BreesQB drafted in 4 of 21 drafts (2011–2018)
  • Anquan BoldinWR drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2005–2013)
  • Brandin CooksWR drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2014–2016)
  • Corey DillonRB drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2003–2005)
  • Darren McFaddenRB drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2010–2013)
  • Fred TaylorRB drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2003–2006)
  • Justin TuckerK drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2017–2020)
  • Michael CrabtreeWR drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2012–2018)
  • Michael TurnerRB drafted in 3 of 21 drafts (2008–2010)

Counted against 21 drafts on record. Drafting and keeping are separate decisions.

Teams they draft from

across 21 seasons

  • 16 of 21 drafts · 23 picks · up to 3 in one draft
  • 11 of 21 drafts · 14 picks
  • 11 of 21 drafts · 15 picks
  • 10 of 21 drafts · 14 picks · up to 3 in one draft
  • 10 of 21 drafts · 16 picks
  • 9 of 21 drafts · 11 picks

Keeper slots excluded. Only fresh draft picks count.

Colleges they draft from

across 21 seasons

  • 7 picks · 6 of 21 drafts · league seat avg 2.9
  • 6 picks · 6 of 21 drafts · league seat avg 1.5
  • 6 picks · 6 of 21 drafts · league seat avg 2

College known for 62% of picks in the 21 covered drafts.

Keepers

across 5 seasons

Kept per season
4.0
Average tenure
1.0 seasons
Longest hold
1 seasons
New keepers
100%

Keepers by position

  • WR45%
  • RB40%
  • TE15%

Roster churn

across 21 seasons

Roster turnover
52%
Drafted
15.7
Still there at season's end
7.5

Share of the drafted roster no longer on the roster at season's end.

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